One can take sound and informed investment decisions in the following areas of the advisory landscape:
1. EQUITY : DEBT RATIO 2. EQUITY : DEBT : GOLD RATIO 3. DIVERSIFIED EQUITY : MAF/BAF : ESF RATIO 4. LARGE CAP : MID CAP : SMALL CAP RATIO 5. SHORT TERM DEBT : LONG TERM DEBT RATIO 6. GLOBAL VALUATION AND ALERTS 7. SECTORAL VALUATION AND ALERTS
Lack of centralized platform for historical and current data on valuation and business cycles.
Valuation metrics, which are freely available, are scattered across websites.
Some metrics need to be calculated, converted, and published into a finished form.
In addition, some metrics are not easily sourced and need to be purchased
Data Analytics issue
A lack of proper tools can lead to a half-baked interpretation and assessment of the cycle.
Analysing valuation in absolute form can be misleading. Analysis of valuation can never be static; it changes with time. Same valuation number might not mean the same thing in different years. A P/E of 21 in 2004 is different from a P/E of 21 in 2023. Inference of market cap to GDP of 100 can be different for two different time periods.
Analysing Valuation metric not in conjunction with another important metric. Taking decisions based on a single metric will not give a complete picture of where we are in the valuation cycle.
Looking at the valuation cycle in isolation, without considering where we are in the business cycle, might not be an appropriate way.